Is the wild card hurting the division races?
Baseball Betting Lines
09/08/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Before I get started here, let me state that I was a big
proponent of the wild card when it was implemented back in 1995, and I am still
in favor of it today. In fact, I am on the side of those who wish to expand the
playoffs even further in adding another wild card team from each league.
But that, I guess, is a topic for another day.
The wild card has given us competitive races down the stretch in just about
all of the 15 years it has been in place. It has kept more teams involved later
than they would have been, while making for some compelling baseball heading
into the final week, which, let's be honest, is all you can really ask for.
However, if things play out the way I think they will over the final three-
plus weeks of the regular season, we could have a problem. The two best races
in baseball are shaping up to be the American League East and the National
League West, but all four teams could get into the playoffs anyway thanks to
the wild card.
The juice has been taken out of the division races, especially in the AL,
where it is a foregone conclusion that the loser between the New York Yankees
and Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East is going to get in. They are 1-2 for the best
record in baseball and will likely trade the top spot a number of times over
the next couple of weeks.
How awesome would that race have been 16 years ago, had they both been fighting
for one spot?
While it may not be as pronounced in the NL, I still see the wild card going
to either San Diego or San Francisco. Of course, the division race between
them is also going to come down to the final weekend, but again, who cares,
knowing they both could get in anyway?
So where is the intrigue going to be down the stretch?
I know the National League East is tight at the moment, but the Phillies are
now healthy and with the three pitchers atop that rotation, that division is
over. Don't be surprised when the season ends on October 3rd and the Phils are
the National League leader with the biggest divisional lead.
Atlanta, which fell a half-game back in the NL East on Tuesday, leads the Wild
Card chase by a game over the San Francisco Giants. I don't like the way the
Braves have looked over the last month, though, and I think them relinquishing
their division lead on Tuesday was just the beginning. I see a free-fall
coming.
The American League Central could come down to the wire - because it does
every year - and give us some excitement, but in reality all the Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox are battling for is the right to get eliminated by
either the Yankees or Rays in the first round.
Is there anyone out there who doesn't think the Rays or Yanks will be coming
out of the AL?
Forget an AL West that's been over since the All-Star break, despite the fact
that the Rangers are playing as awful as any team in the league at the moment.
The Reds' six-game lead on the Cardinals should also hold up in the National
League, given who they have to play the rest of the way.
I would love to see the Cards get involved in the wild card mix, because if
they get into the playoffs I have a feeling they could be scary. As I write
this they sit 5 1/2 back, though only four back in the loss column.
There is one team, though, that can throw a wrench into all of this and that
team is the Ghost of Septembers Past - the Colorado Rockies, who are in the
midst of another late-season surge and have climbed within 4 1/2 games
of both the NL West and the wild card.
That said, Colorado has been so inconsistent this season, I just can't envision
them making a run here. Then again, I did not think they would rip off 13 wins
in their last 14 games to force a one-game playoff in 2007 and definitely did
not think they had another run in them in June of last season when they were 12
games under .500 and 15 1/2 games out of first place.
By the way, you may disregard all this when in a couple of weeks I am writing
over the last weekend of the season about the wild free-for-all that is going
to be taking place for the NL Wild Card.
I hope that is the case, but I just don't see it playing out like that.
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PORT ST. LUCIE, Fla. -- New York Mets pitcher Orlando Hernandez, sidelined at spring training because of arthritis in his neck, is expected to resume throwing on Tuesday.
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In terms of sports wagering, the NFL is "the most popular game in town." The explanation behind that is easy.
It is called the "pointspread."
Many years ago, NFL games, as well as the more popular college games, used straight odds as a vehicle for betting. For example, if the Bears were playing the Giants, and it shaped up as a competitive contest, the Bears might be, say, a 7/5 favorite. If they were playing an also-ran, it might be 10/1. Well, there is a point where a line becomes prohibitive, as far as betting the favorite. And who would waste money betting an underdog that has virtually no chance? Such a setup did not contribute to promoting betting action.
But in modern sports betting, a "pointspread" is used.
A NFL pointspreads are exactly that, a pre-established point difference between the two sides that will, for all intents and purposes, create a handicap that evens things out, and in doing so, produces comparable wagering activity on both sides of that proposition. So in lieu of a odds figure in which to bet the team to win outright, the Bears might be a three-point favorite over the New York Giants, and a 17-point favorite over the also-ran. Now that the team that is the underdog can "get" points, there can be equal action on both sides.
In sportsbooks, this is usually done with efficiency by charging the losing bettors 10% extra - in effect, bettors are laying 11/10 on those games. So they are actually betting $110 to win $100. If they lose, they pay the "vig." If they win, they simply collect.
The establishment of the pointspread as the corner stone around which team sports like football can be wagered upon was truly what brought gridiron betting into the stratosphere for online football betting .
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