Gaels seek redemption in WCC clash with Broncos
NCAA Basketball Betting Lines
02/11/2012 -
Moraga, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two teams at opposite ends of the West Coast
Conference spectrum meet in Moraga, California tonight, as the Santa Clara Broncos have come to challenge the 16th-ranked Saint Mary's-CA Gaels.
Santa Clara has had a miserable season thus far, particularly in conference
play as it has yet to taste victory against WCC opponents (0-11). Overall, the
Broncos have lost twice as many games as they have won (8-16), and they are
0-9 on the road. The team is currently mired in a 12-game losing streak, its
last win coming against Eastern Michigan in the opening round of the Cable Car
Classic back on December 29.
As for Saint Mary's, it is an impressive 22-3 on the season, and the team had
won its first 11 conference bouts before taking on fellow WCC front-runner
Gonzaga on Thursday night. The Gaels suffered a 73-59 defeat in that contest,
but they'll try to bounce back tonight as they prepare to take on the league's
worst team in front of a home crowd that has seen them win each and every time
they've stepped foot on the McKeon Pavilion hardwood this season (15-0).
The two teams met on January 21, with Saint Mary's winning at Santa Clara in a
93-77 final.
Poor defense has led to Santa Clara's dreadful record this season, as the team
is giving up more than 75 ppg, with foes shooting better than 45 percent from
the field and 37 percent from beyond the arc. The Broncos are netting right
around 70 ppg themselves, but they're hitting just 41.1 percent of their total
shots and they're routinely beaten on the glass. The team's scoring chart
shows three double-digit scorers in Kevin Foster, Evan Roquemore and Niyi
Harrison, although Foster has been suspended indefinitely, leaving the others
to pick up the slack. Raymond Cowells III and Denzel Johnson did just that in
the most recent outing against San Franciso, netting 21 and 20 points,
respectively, but despite shooting 51.9 percent from the floor and nailing 14-
of-23 three-point attempts, the Broncos dropped an 85-69 decision to the Dons.
A 15-1 deficit in points from the foul line proved costly, as did a whopping
21 turnovers. Roquemore chipped in 14 points for Santa Clara in defeat.
Simply put, Saint Mary's failed to find its groove in the recent showdown with
Gonzaga, as the Gaels shot just 38.2 percent from the field, knocked down a
mere 5-of-21 three-point tries and lost the battle on the boards by a 40-26
margin. Matthew Dellavedova led SMC with 20 points, but help came only in the
form of 11 points from Jorden Page and 10 from Brad Waldow. About the only
bright spot for the Gaels was the fact that they committed a low eight
turnovers, which is nearly four less than the team is guilty of on average
this year. Dellavedova (15.7 ppg, 6.3 apg) is one of three players currently
averaging double digits in the scoring column for Saint Mary's, but the team's
most productive all-around player is Rob Jones, who nets 14.6 ppg while
pulling down 10.6 rpg. As a collective unit, the Gaels are lighting up the
scoreboard to the tune of 76.3 ppg behind typical shooting efforts of 47.7
percent overall and 36.1 percent from three-point land. Defensively, the team
permits just 61.4 ppg, and it owns favorable margins in both rebounding (+7.4)
and turnovers (+1.0).
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Betting the NFL preseason
Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your bet on football needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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